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    Drone Technology Leader AVAV – AeroVironment

    By11CTrades

    I believe AeroVironment is one of best drone defense technology companies executing on the U.S. Department of Defense ‘Replicator Initiative’. Some background on $AVAV

    As the nature of warfare changes quickly, the U.S. Department of Defense has launched ‘Replicator Initiative’ to urgently focus on low-cost drones and robotic systems. While privately held venture-backed Anduril have captured all the attention, AeroVironment $AVAV is already executing Replicator’s vision at an industrial scale and producing battle-ready drones.

    The Replicator Program’s core challenge is acquiring reliable, autonomous systems quickly. This is precisely where AeroVironment demonstrates a decisive advantage. The company has a unique battle-tested performance with its Switchblade 300 and 600 loitering munitions. More importantly, AeroVironment is building the infrastructure necessary to meet the scale of the Replicator Initiative. The company is already expanding its Utah production facility with the aim of supporting over $1 billion in annual Switchblade revenue. The company has a strong procurement relationship with the government, including a nearly $1 billion contract from the U.S. Army for Switchblade systems.

    I believe they will beat the revenue and earnings estimates just like the last time. In its Q4’25 report, AeroVironment’s Loitering Munition Systems segment reported a revenue growth of 83% in addition to a record $1.2 billion in total bookings for the year and closed with a funded backlog of $726 million—an 82% y-o-y increase that provides strong visibility into future revenue.

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    Best Investing Names for 2026

    By11CTrades

    HOW TO HANDILY BEAT S&P 500! My discord https://discord.gg/QeQBeJFeJE where I share stock picks and my entry and exit points each trading day.

    Here are the top 10 investment themes poised to outperform the S&P 500 ($SPY) in 2026, driven by the ongoing AI infrastructure boom, power demand surge, and related megatrends. Good to accumulate on days of market contractions.

    1. Capitalize on AI-driven memory and semiconductor demand ($MU $WDC $NVDA $AMD). High-bandwidth memory and storage remain critical bottlenecks as AI training scales.
    2. Benefit from surging power needs with leading energy producers ($CEG $VST $NRG). Nuclear and flexible generation providers are securing long-term deals to fuel hyperscale data centers.
    3. Tap into explosive data center infrastructure growth ($VRT $NBIS $IREN $ETN $APH $PWR). Cooling, power management, interconnects, and construction are essential for high-density AI racks.
    4. Leverage data as the core fuel for AI training ($MDB $SNOW $ORCL). Modern data platforms and lake houses enable scalable AI workloads.
    5. Ride the dominance of hyper scalers in cloud and AI ($AMZN $GOOGL). Massive capex on AI infrastructure continues to drive their ecosystems.
    6. Protect against rising cyber threats in digitized, cloud-scaled environments ($PANW $CRWD). Security remains a top priority as AI adoption accelerates vulnerabilities.
    7. Participate in the accelerating space economy ($RKLB). Reusable rockets and satellite networks support global connectivity and future AI applications (watch for potential SpaceX developments).
    8. Profit from mainstream adoption of prediction markets and fintech innovation ($HOOD). Platforms enabling real-world event betting and broader digital finance trends.
    9. Hedge against currency devaluation and mounting debt ($GLD $SLV). Precious metals offer protection in an uncertain macro environment.
    10. Bet on real-world AI automation in autonomy and robotics ($TSLA). Advances in self-driving tech and humanoid robots represent the next frontier of applied AI.

    Please consider becoming a subscriber. You will get an exclusive access to my watchlists here and my private discord channel where I share my real-time trades with you to trade along with me. I spent considerable time/effort each day in compiling the best of the best trading strategies. Discord: Join me on the success https://discord.gg/QeQBeJFeJE .

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    CENX – A STRONG CASE FOR INVESTING

    By11CTrades

    Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    A Strong Investment Case for CENX – Century Aluminum

    About CENX – Century Aluminum Co. is a producer of aluminum and operates aluminum reduction facilities, or smelters, in the United States and Iceland. Its products include standard ingots, T-ingot, extrusion billet, horizontal direct chill ingot, molten, slab, and sow.

    A Case for CENX – Aluminum is moving from a supporting role to center stage in the global green transition. The metal is light and strong, and also endlessly recyclable. This makes it essential for electric vehicles (EVs), solar panels, power lines, and low-carbon buildings. Aluminum is critical for national security – an essential input for military aircrafts and advanced defense systems. Global demand for aluminum is rising fast as countries expand renewable power and electric transport. The International Aluminum Institute (IAI) expects aluminum demand to rise by 40% by 2030. This growth is fueled by clean-tech uses.

    Trump tariffs put 50% charge on all non-domestic aluminum products. As a result, aluminum spot premium have gone up nearly 100%. CENX raised guidance for the year but hinted that the full effects will come next year. A shift in U.S. industrial sector policy, added by these tariffs and the focus on domestic manufacturing, is creating a uniquely profitable environment for CENX.

    The financial impact of this policy is visible in the company’s guidance. For Q3’25, Century issued an optimistic forecast for Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $115 million to $125 million. Management explicitly linked this strong earnings projection to the benefits of higher domestic premiums, offering clear evidence of the policy’s effect on profitability. Century is actively reinvesting to meet the growing demand for domestically sourced aluminum.

    Please consider becoming a subscriber. You will get an exclusive access to my watchlists here and my private discord channel where I share my real-time trades with you to trade along with me. I spent considerable time/effort each day in compiling the best of the best trading strategies.

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    Watch List for Sep 22, 2025

    By11CTrades

    My attack plan is a to-do for myself based on my own extensive research. The plan includes PTs and SL for selected BULLISH stocks, assuming stable market conditions. Geopolitical or macroeconomic events may invalidate this plan. I may revise it on the morning of the 22th before the market opens. You may pick and choose these names based on your level of risks. Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    List of Bullish Stocks for Sep 22 Trading

    Stock SymbolNotesMy 1st PTSLAdditional Notes
    ANFShowed some sign of life since 18th Sep. In my watchlist for a trade if stays above 91.7 in a good volume. Analyst Janine Stichter put a strong ‘Buy’ recommendation with a $120 price target. JPM, Telsey, BTIG and others also got bullish. Recent earnings delivered its 11th consecutive quarter of growth, with net sales reaching $1.2 billion, a 7% increase from the previous year. Improving Operating Margin were 17.1%, up from 15.5%. Guidance for next Q was better than expected at $1.28 billion at the midpoint, 1.8% above analysts’ estimates.9689
    ARGTFGold and gold mining stocks are hot and are likely to continue their run. Looks good for trade and long. Many analysts upgraded the stock.2622.75
    BABAChinese tech is hot. A lot of potential as Alibaba makes a push in semiconductor, AI and data center business. They look to challenge domestic leaders like Huawei and Cambricon while reducing exposure to Nvidia designs. Susquehanna raised target to $190. Consolidating before the next leg up is my read. looks good for trade and long. 169157.8
    BIDUChinese tech is hot and are staging a comeback that’s turning heads. According to Bloomberg, total capex by China’s major internet players could more than double from $13 billion in 2023 to $32 billion in 2025. The company recently showcased its newest AI reasoning model, Ernie X1.1, during the Wave Summit 2025 developer conference, which, according to the management highlighted improvements in factual accuracy, instruction handling, and agent-based functions. Benchmark testing suggested Ernie X1.1 outperformed DeepSeek’s R1-0528 in several categories. Consolidating before the next leg up is my read. looks good for trade and long. Jefferies raised the target to 157. 144129
    BMNRBitMine recently added $201 million worth of ETH to treasury. Consolidating before the next leg up is my read. looks good for trade and long.6958.7
    DOCUDocuSign’s earnings were impressive. Revenue of $801 million beat expectations for $780.35 million. EPS of 92 cents beat estimates for 84 cents. Citi raised its target to $120. A good trading stock. 8883
    IONQA lot of momentum on quantum stocks. IONQ jumped after the stock’s positive momentum continued as the company announced a major partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy and revealed a deal to acquire quantum sensing firm.7667
    MDBA lot of push after many upgrades by Needham, JPM, Goldman, BMO, UBS, and many others. Their flagship product, MongoDB Atlas, runs across Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Atlas performance accelerated to 29% YoY growth, up from 26% in the previous quarter. The shift toward larger enterprise customers, which management refers to as the “move upmarket,” is paying off by attracting “higher quality workloads” that are more durable and grow for longer. A good trading stock.327318.9
    NVDAMomentum is brewing (not strong enough yet) in Nvidia after the company and Intel made a partnership around PC and data center chips. Investors are reading the tea leaves and see NVDA expanding into CPU business. 179.5173.9
    ORCLTwo immediate catalysts are building the momentum. 1) US TikTok users’ data to be stored on Oracle cloud platform 2) Oracle and META eyes $20 billion AI cloud computing deal.316305.7
    SNOWSnowflake jumped over 3% on Friday after positive momentum built around its expanding role in enterprise Artificial Intelligence (AI), underscored by strong customer growth and a new strategic data partnership with Workday. They had great earnings report as product revenues climbed 32% year-over-year to $1.09 billion in the same period. Snowflake also showed strong customer loyalty, with a 125% net revenue retention rate.235227
    TSLATesla has been on a momentum ride since 12th Sep and likely ready to fly upward. I have continued trading the stocks since then but plan to trade even more. I plan to get in above 429.439422

    If you find the watchlist useful and profitable, please consider becoming a subscriber

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    Watch List for Sep 5, 2025

    By11CTrades

    My attack plan for Sep 5th assuming the job report is weaker as expected.

    AEO – continue riding (and trading more) as long the price stays above 17.95

    AFRM – continue riding (and trading more) as long as the price stays above 88.6

    AMZN – add more above 238 or else stay put

    COHR – add / trade above 92.69

    CRDO – add more on any weakness

    GOOGL – add more on any weakness

    HQY – continue to trade above 96.4

    RKT – continue to add / trade above 18.7

    SOUN – add above 13.5

    SNOW – add above 228 or else just watch : )

    SHOP – trade above 145.8

    HIMS – continue to trade above 47.6

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    Why is Amazon stock lagging

    By11CTrades

    Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    Key reasons for AMZN lagging the market

    $AMZN – Amazon’s stock has been in a bit of a rut lately. Year-to-date, it’s up a modest 4.6%, significantly trailing the S&P 500’s 16.8% gain and most of its “Magnificent Seven” peers. This lack of momentum feels stark, especially after a post-earnings pop in late October. Some context on why the stock is lagging –

    1. AI and Infrastructure Capex Overload: The company guided for ~$125 billion in capital expenditures for 2025—up over 40% from prior years—with most tied to AI builds. This has led to a cash crunch: free cash flow plunged in recent quarters, and AWS operating margins dipped to 32.9% in Q2 from 39.5% in Q1 due to higher depreciation, stock-based comp, and forex hits.

    2. AWS Growth Lagging Competitors AWS remains Amazon’s profit powerhouse (17% of revenue but ~50% of operating income), but its growth has cooled to 17-20% year-over-year—below Microsoft’s Azure (39%) and Google Cloud (32%) in recent quarters. Q3 brought a rebound to 20% growth (the highest since late 2022), boosted by deals like the $38B, seven-year OpenAI pact for Nvidia GPUs. Still, the perception of Amazon playing catch-up in the AI arms race has fueled selling—especially as the broader tech sector rotates away from hyperscalers amid high valuations.

    3. Regulatory Headwinds and Legal Bills Amazon’s facing a barrage of scrutiny that’s eroding confidence. In September, it settled a $2.5B FTC lawsuit over Prime practices, removing some overhang but highlighting ongoing antitrust risks. November brought fresh EU probes under the Digital Markets Act, potentially labeling AWS a “gatekeeper” and slapping on fines or compliance costs.

    4. E-Commerce Pressures and Broader Market Sentiment The retail side (74% of revenue) grew a solid 10% in Q3, but it’s under fire from low-cost disruptors like Temu and Shein, who snag 50% of U.S. shoppers with dirt-cheap imports. Amazon’s “Haul” initiative to counter them has flopped so far, though potential tariffs could help. Add in tepid top-line guidance (Q3 missed Street estimates slightly) and a high P/E ratio (35x forward earnings), and the stock’s become a relative value trap versus peers.

    Please consider becoming a subscriber. You will get an exclusive access to my watchlists here and my private discord channel where I share my real-time trades with you to trade along with me. I spent considerable time/effort each day in compiling the best of the best trading strategies.