Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

A case for Rubrik

Rubrik, Inc. engages in the provision of cloud data management solutions. Its solutions include backup and recovery, VM backup, Microsoft 365, ransom ware recovery, database backup, cloud solutions, and Polaris sonar. Rubrik products include data protection, data threat analytics, data security posture and cyber recovery.

Q2 revenue grew by more than 51%, driven by a 55% increase in subscription services, which in turn were driven by new, large clients. The number of clients contributing more than $100K to recurring revenue increased by 27% and is expected to grow. The company widened its gross margin by several hundred basis points, narrowing its operating losses despite increased marketing and R&D. The company posted an adjusted loss, as expected, but it was far smaller than forecasted.

Revenue

Earnings

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    Watchlist for Aug 5, 2025

    Watchlist & initial plan for 8/5/25: assuming the market trends stay stable

    Stock

    Plan

    Target

    Results

    $AMSC

    Trade above 55.5 / exit below 53.69

    60 – this week

    $FTAI

    Continue to trade / exit below 136.5

    155 – within 2 weeks

    $MOD

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 133.8

    144 – within 2 weeks

    $MSFT

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 524

    560 – within 4 weeks

    $NRG

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 167.5

    188 – within 6 weeks. Earnings on 8/6 may void the plan

    $NVDA

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 175.9

    188 – before the earnings (8/27)

    $PGY

    Trade above 31.9 / exit below 31.5

    38 – earnings on 8/7 may void the plan

    $PLTR

    Continue to accumulate

    179 within 2 weeks

    $RDDT

    Continue to accumulate

    220 within 2 weeks

    $TMDX

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 124.7

    139 within 2-3 weeks

    $AEO

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 12.79

    14.9 in a couple of days

  • | | |

    Watch List for Oct 6, 2025

    My attack plan is a to-do for myself based on my own extensive research. The plan includes PTs and SL for selected BULLISH stocks, assuming stable market (Nasdaq is within -.02% range) conditions. Geopolitical or macroeconomic events may invalidate this plan. I may revise it on the morning of the 6th before the market opens. You may pick and choose these names based on your level of risks. Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    List of Bullish Stocks for Oct 6 Trading

    Stock SymbolNotes (stable market = 0.2% range for Nasdaq)My 1st PTSLEntry Only at or just Above
    ARMIn a stable market, enter above 153.4156151.8153.4
    ARRYIn a stable market, enter above 9.210.18.88.99
    BLDPIn a stable market, enter above 3.564.13.33.56
    BMNRIn a stable market, enter above 57.456254.3157.45
    COINIn a stable market, enter above 382391376382
    HUMIn a stable market, enter above 285292280285
    MSTRIn a stable market, enter above 355364349355
    PLUGIn a stable market, enter above 3.834.23.643.83
    RCATIn a stable market, enter above 13.0513.7512.6513.05
    SOUNIn a stable market, enter above 17.9718.717.6517.97
    SRPTIn a stable market, enter above 22.924.922.222.9
    TSLAIn a stable market, enter above 433441426433
    UNHIn a stable market, enter above 362369357.6362

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  • | | |

    Why Google, Broadcom stocks are up!

    Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    Why Google, Broadcom, Alibaba stocks are up while Nvidia and AMD are down!

    Here is the answer – initial read is that Gemini 3 is reportedly faster and performs with deeper reasoning than ChatGPT and is integrated with Google’s family of apps and data. It is also priced at similar levels to rival AI models. But more importantly the fact that Gemini was trained primarily on Google’s TPUs ( Broadcom is TPU’s partner ) as opposed to its rivals’ reliance on Nvidia and AMD chips, is a critical data point. TPUs aren’t as flexible as Nvidia’s GPUs, which can make them less usable in a market where hyperscalers are demanding the ability to reprogram their AI systems.

    But TPUs are both cheaper to develop and use less power to run at full capacity. Similar story holds for Alibaba’ Qwen AI model (using their custom less expensive chips). And that fact is spooking the market in favor of pushing $GOOGL $AVGO $BABA and against $NVDA $AMD.

    “Some investors are petrified that Alphabet will win the AI war due to huge improvements in its Gemini model and ongoing benefits from its custom TPU chip,” said Ben Reitzes, tech strategist at Melius Research.

    More about my trading strategy and insights: https://avitrades.11conceptsllc.com/active-trading-strategy/

    Please consider becoming a subscriber. You will get an exclusive access to my watchlists here and my private discord channel where I share my real-time trades with you to trade along with me. I spent considerable time/effort each day in compiling the best of the best trading strategies.

  • |

    Drone Technology Leader AVAV – AeroVironment

    I believe AeroVironment is one of best drone defense technology companies executing on the U.S. Department of Defense ‘Replicator Initiative’. Some background on $AVAV

    As the nature of warfare changes quickly, the U.S. Department of Defense has launched ‘Replicator Initiative’ to urgently focus on low-cost drones and robotic systems. While privately held venture-backed Anduril have captured all the attention, AeroVironment $AVAV is already executing Replicator’s vision at an industrial scale and producing battle-ready drones.

    The Replicator Program’s core challenge is acquiring reliable, autonomous systems quickly. This is precisely where AeroVironment demonstrates a decisive advantage. The company has a unique battle-tested performance with its Switchblade 300 and 600 loitering munitions. More importantly, AeroVironment is building the infrastructure necessary to meet the scale of the Replicator Initiative. The company is already expanding its Utah production facility with the aim of supporting over $1 billion in annual Switchblade revenue. The company has a strong procurement relationship with the government, including a nearly $1 billion contract from the U.S. Army for Switchblade systems.

    I believe they will beat the revenue and earnings estimates just like the last time. In its Q4’25 report, AeroVironment’s Loitering Munition Systems segment reported a revenue growth of 83% in addition to a record $1.2 billion in total bookings for the year and closed with a funded backlog of $726 million—an 82% y-o-y increase that provides strong visibility into future revenue.

  • | | |

    Watch List for Sep 25, 2025

    My attack plan is a to-do for myself based on my own extensive research. The plan includes PTs and SL for selected BULLISH stocks, assuming stable market conditions. Geopolitical or macroeconomic events may invalidate this plan. I may revise it on the morning of the 25th before the market opens. You may pick and choose these names based on your level of risks. Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    List of Bullish Stocks for Sep 25 Trading

    Stock SymbolNotesMy 1st PTSLEntry Only at or just Above
    TSLAIn a stable market, enter TSLA above 444. Positive commentary from Wall Street analysts and upbeat forecasts for third-quarter vehicle deliveries. Wolfe Research stated that Q3 deliveries could reach between 465,000 and 470,000 units, topping consensus estimates of 445,000.454439.8444
    ARMIn a stable market, enter ARM above 145. Optimism about the Lumex Compute Subsystem platform announced on Sept. 10, that marks a bold step toward redefining on-device AI capabilities for smartphones, PCs and emerging form factors. The platform delivers up to 5x faster AI performance, coupled with efficiency gains that could position 149142145
    BABAIn a stable market, enter BABA above 177. A lot of optimism after Alibaba CEO Eddie Wu said the company would increase spending beyond a previously articulated $53 billion target for cloud computing and AI infrastructure, and will also open up its first data centers in Brazil, France and Netherlands. ARK Tech investor Cathie Wood this week bought Alibaba stock for the first time in four years. On Monday, Wood bought $8.2 million worth of Alibaba for the Ark Fintech Innovation ETF and another $8.1 million worth in the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF fund, the first time either of those ETFs have held the stock since 2021.182174.8177
    CRWVIn a stable market, enter CRWV above 132.5. Wells Fargo Lifts Target To $170 On Surging AI Demand.139129.6132.5
    GDSIn a stable market, enter GDS above 42.15. Beneficiary of China AI cloud and tech resurgence. AI demand remains in focus for China data centers, HSBC says, maintaining buy ratings for VNET Group, GDS and SUNeVision.464042.15
    MUIn a stable market, enter MU above 162.25.164160.2162.25
    NBISIn a stable market, enter NBIS above 113.7. NBIS reaffirmed the $2 billion capital expenditure plan for 2025 on its latest earnings call as it doubles down on capacity expansion to gain market share in the fast-growing AI infrastructure space. 116111.6113.7
    ORCLIn a stable market, enter ORCL above 309. Optimism persists on TikTok deal, and huge cloud AI backlog.314304.6309
    PLUGIn a stable market, enter PLUG above 2.55. Potential momentum play. 3.12.352.5

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  • | | |

    Watch List for Oct 27 2025

    My attack plan is a to-do for myself based on my own extensive research. The plan includes PTs and SL for selected BULLISH stocks, assuming stable market (Nasdaq is within -.02% range) conditions. Geopolitical or macroeconomic events may invalidate this plan. I may revise it on the morning of the 16th before the market opens. You may pick and choose these names based on your level of risks. Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    List of Bullish Stocks for Oct 27 Trading

    Stock SymbolNotes (stable market = 0.2% range for Nasdaq)Enter Only at or just AboveMy 1st PTStop Loss Point
    BABAIn a stable market174178170
    CEGIn a stable market390399384
    CRSIn a stable market312319306
    HOODIn a stable market141146136.9
    IRENIn a stable market62.56760
    NBISIn a stable market116123112
    NVDAIn a stable market186193183
    TSLAIn a stable market441447437
    TRMBIn a stable market828580

    Please consider becoming a subscriber. You will get an exclusive access to my watchlists here and my private discord channel where I share my real-time trades with you to trade along with me. I spent considerable time/effort each day in compiling the best of the best trading strategies. Discord: Join me on the success https://discord.com/invite/dPX53 .

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