Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

Amazon after Q3 Earnings

Amazon stock just hit a new record high. A summary of its earnings report –

Amazon stock hit a record close after reporting better-than-expected earnings results. Amazon stock is up only 12% so far this year, underperforming the 23% rise for the Nasdaq Composite.

For Q3, the company reported EPS of $1.95, compared to Wall Street’s consensus estimate of $1.57. Revenue came in at $180.2 billion, which was ahead of analysts’ expectations of $177.9 billion. AWS sales skyrocketed 20% to $33 billion, super-charged by healthy demand for AI training and Amazon’s homegrown Trainium chips which saw a stellar 150% jump in sales from the prior quarter. CEO Andy Jassy said AWS is gaining momentum with more companies shift their biggest workloads to Amazon’s cloud for its performance and reliability.

“We continue to see strong demand in AI and core infrastructure, and we’ve been focused on accelerating capacity,” Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said in a press release. Jassy said the company has doubled AWS capacity measured by power from 2022 and is on track to double capacity again by 2027. The company now expects capital expenditures to come in at $125 billion for the full year, ahead of the current Wall Street forecast for $117.5 billion.

Analysts

$305 – J.P. Morgan ( “We believe overall sentiment on AWS will improve notably in coming months as the business accelerates growth”. They predict the rollout of Amazon’s next AI chip called Trainium 3 to boost AWS revenue next year)

$320 – Citigroup
$300 – Canaccord
$292 – Wells Fargo

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Hot Nuclear Stocks – Rising clean energy demand from power hungry data centers and AI infrastructure fuels renewed interest in Nuclear companies

Rising Demand

As per the IEA, energy supply from nuclear power is expected to nearly double in next three decades, helping utilities meet the rising demand for clean energy. The IEA also highlights that while large nuclear reactors will dominate overall power generation, small modular reactors (SMRs) are projected to witness significant expansion. The immense clean power requirements from the AI-based new data centers are creating growing demand. Increasing adoption of Evs and rising demand from the power grids are adding to the demand. The government is also working to increase the domestic supply of uranium, a fuel essential to power the nuclear plants.

Reliability

Nuclear energy is gaining recognition as a vital solution to meet the world’s increasing electricity needs while supporting the transition to cleaner energy sources. Unlike solar and wind, which depend on weather conditions, nuclear power offers a stable supply of carbon-free energy throughout the year.

Regulatory Reforms

The Nuclear industry is benefiting from the new regulatory reforms, added focus on R&D, and technology innovation leading to the development of microreactors and small modular reactors.

Nuclear Stocks Are Getting Attention

With this increasing importance of the nuclear sector, nuclear energy-related stocks, such as Constellation Energy (CEG), BWX Technologies (BWXT), Dominion Energy (D), and Duke Energy (DUK), are attracting investors. As the production of clean energy is expected to rise, a continuous supply of high-quality uranium is essential to keep the nuclear units running. Companies like Cameco (CCJ), Centrus Energy (LEU), and Uranium Energy (UEC) are active in supplying / enriching uranium and therefore can benefit from the surging nuclear power demand.

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Key reasons for AMZN lagging the market

$AMZN – Amazon’s stock has been in a bit of a rut lately. Year-to-date, it’s up a modest 4.6%, significantly trailing the S&P 500’s 16.8% gain and most of its “Magnificent Seven” peers. This lack of momentum feels stark, especially after a post-earnings pop in late October. Some context on why the stock is lagging –

1. AI and Infrastructure Capex Overload: The company guided for ~$125 billion in capital expenditures for 2025—up over 40% from prior years—with most tied to AI builds. This has led to a cash crunch: free cash flow plunged in recent quarters, and AWS operating margins dipped to 32.9% in Q2 from 39.5% in Q1 due to higher depreciation, stock-based comp, and forex hits.

2. AWS Growth Lagging Competitors AWS remains Amazon’s profit powerhouse (17% of revenue but ~50% of operating income), but its growth has cooled to 17-20% year-over-year—below Microsoft’s Azure (39%) and Google Cloud (32%) in recent quarters. Q3 brought a rebound to 20% growth (the highest since late 2022), boosted by deals like the $38B, seven-year OpenAI pact for Nvidia GPUs. Still, the perception of Amazon playing catch-up in the AI arms race has fueled selling—especially as the broader tech sector rotates away from hyperscalers amid high valuations.

3. Regulatory Headwinds and Legal Bills Amazon’s facing a barrage of scrutiny that’s eroding confidence. In September, it settled a $2.5B FTC lawsuit over Prime practices, removing some overhang but highlighting ongoing antitrust risks. November brought fresh EU probes under the Digital Markets Act, potentially labeling AWS a “gatekeeper” and slapping on fines or compliance costs.

4. E-Commerce Pressures and Broader Market Sentiment The retail side (74% of revenue) grew a solid 10% in Q3, but it’s under fire from low-cost disruptors like Temu and Shein, who snag 50% of U.S. shoppers with dirt-cheap imports. Amazon’s “Haul” initiative to counter them has flopped so far, though potential tariffs could help. Add in tepid top-line guidance (Q3 missed Street estimates slightly) and a high P/E ratio (35x forward earnings), and the stock’s become a relative value trap versus peers.

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