Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

Why Google, Broadcom, Alibaba stocks are up while Nvidia and AMD are down!

Here is the answer – initial read is that Gemini 3 is reportedly faster and performs with deeper reasoning than ChatGPT and is integrated with Google’s family of apps and data. It is also priced at similar levels to rival AI models. But more importantly the fact that Gemini was trained primarily on Google’s TPUs ( Broadcom is TPU’s partner ) as opposed to its rivals’ reliance on Nvidia and AMD chips, is a critical data point. TPUs aren’t as flexible as Nvidia’s GPUs, which can make them less usable in a market where hyperscalers are demanding the ability to reprogram their AI systems.

But TPUs are both cheaper to develop and use less power to run at full capacity. Similar story holds for Alibaba’ Qwen AI model (using their custom less expensive chips). And that fact is spooking the market in favor of pushing $GOOGL $AVGO $BABA and against $NVDA $AMD.

“Some investors are petrified that Alphabet will win the AI war due to huge improvements in its Gemini model and ongoing benefits from its custom TPU chip,” said Ben Reitzes, tech strategist at Melius Research.

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    Watchlist for Aug 5, 2025

    Watchlist & initial plan for 8/5/25: assuming the market trends stay stable

    Stock

    Plan

    Target

    Results

    $AMSC

    Trade above 55.5 / exit below 53.69

    60 – this week

    $FTAI

    Continue to trade / exit below 136.5

    155 – within 2 weeks

    $MOD

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 133.8

    144 – within 2 weeks

    $MSFT

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 524

    560 – within 4 weeks

    $NRG

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 167.5

    188 – within 6 weeks. Earnings on 8/6 may void the plan

    $NVDA

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 175.9

    188 – before the earnings (8/27)

    $PGY

    Trade above 31.9 / exit below 31.5

    38 – earnings on 8/7 may void the plan

    $PLTR

    Continue to accumulate

    179 within 2 weeks

    $RDDT

    Continue to accumulate

    220 within 2 weeks

    $TMDX

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 124.7

    139 within 2-3 weeks

    $AEO

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 12.79

    14.9 in a couple of days

  • | | |

    Watch List for Aug 18, 2025

    Needless to say that this blog is for my own tracking. My plan assumes a stable market condition. Any disruptions (macro or company specific) can nullify my thesis.

    ARRY – trading opportunity. stop loss below 7.10. UBS sees a move toward $9 but will take a while.

    BA – still a star stock to accumulate. heading toward 245. A break below 231 is a redline.

    CLBT – a swing trade toward 17.50 to 18. get out below 15.10

    CRCL – a 30% chance it explodes toward 155 quickly. Below 145 is a redline.

    CRWV – a 30% chance it explodes toward 110 quickly. Below 97 is danger.

    CVNA – a trade opportunity toward 156. stop loss below 343.

    DHI – a trade toward 176.

    KTOS – a good medium term hold.

    LEN – a trade toward 143.

    NVO – in no time, it can fly toward 62. stopping below 48.

    TEM – a trade toward 76-77.

    WULF – still looks attractive going towards 10.

    NVDA – all time highs to 185 this week?

  • | | |

    Watch List for Sep 15, 2025

    My attack plan is a to-do for myself based on my own extensive research. The plan includes PTs and SL for selected BULLISH stocks, assuming stable market conditions. Geopolitical or macroeconomic events may invalidate this plan. I may revise it on the morning of the 15th before the market opens. Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    List of Bullish Stocks for Sep 15 Trading

    Stock SymbolNotesMy 1st PTSLAdditional Notes
    BABABullish. Keep riding160153.19
    TSLARiding on any weakness416391.9
    BMNRAs long as ETH is strong, keep riding this stock6150.68
    CRWVCan get explosive if RSI goes above 72 in good volume. Watch and act
    HIMSPlan to get in on any weakness. Strong momentum6052.9
    MUKeep riding. Earnings on Tue 23rd close. Plan to reduce some before that164154.65
    NBISPlan to get in on any weakness9488.9
    MVSTPlan to get in4.153.14
    AMDShowed some signs of a turnaround but is still exhibiting weaker buying trend. I plan to jump back in above 160.5 in a decent volume164.5158.9
    ORCLNo action yet. May jump above 299 if RSI goes above 70 and stays for some time in good volume
    RKLBThe stock just broke out. I plan to ride it.5952.85

    If you find the watchlist useful and profitable, please consider becoming a subscriber

  • | | |

    Watch List for Sep 5, 2025

    My attack plan for Sep 5th assuming the job report is weaker as expected.

    AEO – continue riding (and trading more) as long the price stays above 17.95

    AFRM – continue riding (and trading more) as long as the price stays above 88.6

    AMZN – add more above 238 or else stay put

    COHR – add / trade above 92.69

    CRDO – add more on any weakness

    GOOGL – add more on any weakness

    HQY – continue to trade above 96.4

    RKT – continue to add / trade above 18.7

    SOUN – add above 13.5

    SNOW – add above 228 or else just watch : )

    SHOP – trade above 145.8

    HIMS – continue to trade above 47.6

  • | | |

    Watch List for Sep 22, 2025

    My attack plan is a to-do for myself based on my own extensive research. The plan includes PTs and SL for selected BULLISH stocks, assuming stable market conditions. Geopolitical or macroeconomic events may invalidate this plan. I may revise it on the morning of the 22th before the market opens. You may pick and choose these names based on your level of risks. Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    List of Bullish Stocks for Sep 22 Trading

    Stock SymbolNotesMy 1st PTSLAdditional Notes
    ANFShowed some sign of life since 18th Sep. In my watchlist for a trade if stays above 91.7 in a good volume. Analyst Janine Stichter put a strong ‘Buy’ recommendation with a $120 price target. JPM, Telsey, BTIG and others also got bullish. Recent earnings delivered its 11th consecutive quarter of growth, with net sales reaching $1.2 billion, a 7% increase from the previous year. Improving Operating Margin were 17.1%, up from 15.5%. Guidance for next Q was better than expected at $1.28 billion at the midpoint, 1.8% above analysts’ estimates.9689
    ARGTFGold and gold mining stocks are hot and are likely to continue their run. Looks good for trade and long. Many analysts upgraded the stock.2622.75
    BABAChinese tech is hot. A lot of potential as Alibaba makes a push in semiconductor, AI and data center business. They look to challenge domestic leaders like Huawei and Cambricon while reducing exposure to Nvidia designs. Susquehanna raised target to $190. Consolidating before the next leg up is my read. looks good for trade and long. 169157.8
    BIDUChinese tech is hot and are staging a comeback that’s turning heads. According to Bloomberg, total capex by China’s major internet players could more than double from $13 billion in 2023 to $32 billion in 2025. The company recently showcased its newest AI reasoning model, Ernie X1.1, during the Wave Summit 2025 developer conference, which, according to the management highlighted improvements in factual accuracy, instruction handling, and agent-based functions. Benchmark testing suggested Ernie X1.1 outperformed DeepSeek’s R1-0528 in several categories. Consolidating before the next leg up is my read. looks good for trade and long. Jefferies raised the target to 157. 144129
    BMNRBitMine recently added $201 million worth of ETH to treasury. Consolidating before the next leg up is my read. looks good for trade and long.6958.7
    DOCUDocuSign’s earnings were impressive. Revenue of $801 million beat expectations for $780.35 million. EPS of 92 cents beat estimates for 84 cents. Citi raised its target to $120. A good trading stock. 8883
    IONQA lot of momentum on quantum stocks. IONQ jumped after the stock’s positive momentum continued as the company announced a major partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy and revealed a deal to acquire quantum sensing firm.7667
    MDBA lot of push after many upgrades by Needham, JPM, Goldman, BMO, UBS, and many others. Their flagship product, MongoDB Atlas, runs across Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Atlas performance accelerated to 29% YoY growth, up from 26% in the previous quarter. The shift toward larger enterprise customers, which management refers to as the “move upmarket,” is paying off by attracting “higher quality workloads” that are more durable and grow for longer. A good trading stock.327318.9
    NVDAMomentum is brewing (not strong enough yet) in Nvidia after the company and Intel made a partnership around PC and data center chips. Investors are reading the tea leaves and see NVDA expanding into CPU business. 179.5173.9
    ORCLTwo immediate catalysts are building the momentum. 1) US TikTok users’ data to be stored on Oracle cloud platform 2) Oracle and META eyes $20 billion AI cloud computing deal.316305.7
    SNOWSnowflake jumped over 3% on Friday after positive momentum built around its expanding role in enterprise Artificial Intelligence (AI), underscored by strong customer growth and a new strategic data partnership with Workday. They had great earnings report as product revenues climbed 32% year-over-year to $1.09 billion in the same period. Snowflake also showed strong customer loyalty, with a 125% net revenue retention rate.235227
    TSLATesla has been on a momentum ride since 12th Sep and likely ready to fly upward. I have continued trading the stocks since then but plan to trade even more. I plan to get in above 429.439422

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