Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

Why Google, Broadcom, Alibaba stocks are up while Nvidia and AMD are down!

Here is the answer – initial read is that Gemini 3 is reportedly faster and performs with deeper reasoning than ChatGPT and is integrated with Google’s family of apps and data. It is also priced at similar levels to rival AI models. But more importantly the fact that Gemini was trained primarily on Google’s TPUs ( Broadcom is TPU’s partner ) as opposed to its rivals’ reliance on Nvidia and AMD chips, is a critical data point. TPUs aren’t as flexible as Nvidia’s GPUs, which can make them less usable in a market where hyperscalers are demanding the ability to reprogram their AI systems.

But TPUs are both cheaper to develop and use less power to run at full capacity. Similar story holds for Alibaba’ Qwen AI model (using their custom less expensive chips). And that fact is spooking the market in favor of pushing $GOOGL $AVGO $BABA and against $NVDA $AMD.

“Some investors are petrified that Alphabet will win the AI war due to huge improvements in its Gemini model and ongoing benefits from its custom TPU chip,” said Ben Reitzes, tech strategist at Melius Research.

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    Drone Technology Leader AVAV – AeroVironment

    I believe AeroVironment is one of best drone defense technology companies executing on the U.S. Department of Defense ‘Replicator Initiative’. Some background on $AVAV

    As the nature of warfare changes quickly, the U.S. Department of Defense has launched ‘Replicator Initiative’ to urgently focus on low-cost drones and robotic systems. While privately held venture-backed Anduril have captured all the attention, AeroVironment $AVAV is already executing Replicator’s vision at an industrial scale and producing battle-ready drones.

    The Replicator Program’s core challenge is acquiring reliable, autonomous systems quickly. This is precisely where AeroVironment demonstrates a decisive advantage. The company has a unique battle-tested performance with its Switchblade 300 and 600 loitering munitions. More importantly, AeroVironment is building the infrastructure necessary to meet the scale of the Replicator Initiative. The company is already expanding its Utah production facility with the aim of supporting over $1 billion in annual Switchblade revenue. The company has a strong procurement relationship with the government, including a nearly $1 billion contract from the U.S. Army for Switchblade systems.

    I believe they will beat the revenue and earnings estimates just like the last time. In its Q4’25 report, AeroVironment’s Loitering Munition Systems segment reported a revenue growth of 83% in addition to a record $1.2 billion in total bookings for the year and closed with a funded backlog of $726 million—an 82% y-o-y increase that provides strong visibility into future revenue.

  • | | |

    Amazon Bull Case After Q3 Earnings

    Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    Amazon after Q3 Earnings

    Amazon stock just hit a new record high. A summary of its earnings report –

    Amazon stock hit a record close after reporting better-than-expected earnings results. Amazon stock is up only 12% so far this year, underperforming the 23% rise for the Nasdaq Composite.

    For Q3, the company reported EPS of $1.95, compared to Wall Street’s consensus estimate of $1.57. Revenue came in at $180.2 billion, which was ahead of analysts’ expectations of $177.9 billion. AWS sales skyrocketed 20% to $33 billion, super-charged by healthy demand for AI training and Amazon’s homegrown Trainium chips which saw a stellar 150% jump in sales from the prior quarter. CEO Andy Jassy said AWS is gaining momentum with more companies shift their biggest workloads to Amazon’s cloud for its performance and reliability.

    “We continue to see strong demand in AI and core infrastructure, and we’ve been focused on accelerating capacity,” Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said in a press release. Jassy said the company has doubled AWS capacity measured by power from 2022 and is on track to double capacity again by 2027. The company now expects capital expenditures to come in at $125 billion for the full year, ahead of the current Wall Street forecast for $117.5 billion.

    Analysts

    $305 – J.P. Morgan ( “We believe overall sentiment on AWS will improve notably in coming months as the business accelerates growth”. They predict the rollout of Amazon’s next AI chip called Trainium 3 to boost AWS revenue next year)

    $320 – Citigroup
    $300 – Canaccord
    $292 – Wells Fargo

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    Watch List for Oct 6, 2025

    My attack plan is a to-do for myself based on my own extensive research. The plan includes PTs and SL for selected BULLISH stocks, assuming stable market (Nasdaq is within -.02% range) conditions. Geopolitical or macroeconomic events may invalidate this plan. I may revise it on the morning of the 6th before the market opens. You may pick and choose these names based on your level of risks. Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    List of Bullish Stocks for Oct 6 Trading

    Stock SymbolNotes (stable market = 0.2% range for Nasdaq)My 1st PTSLEntry Only at or just Above
    ARMIn a stable market, enter above 153.4156151.8153.4
    ARRYIn a stable market, enter above 9.210.18.88.99
    BLDPIn a stable market, enter above 3.564.13.33.56
    BMNRIn a stable market, enter above 57.456254.3157.45
    COINIn a stable market, enter above 382391376382
    HUMIn a stable market, enter above 285292280285
    MSTRIn a stable market, enter above 355364349355
    PLUGIn a stable market, enter above 3.834.23.643.83
    RCATIn a stable market, enter above 13.0513.7512.6513.05
    SOUNIn a stable market, enter above 17.9718.717.6517.97
    SRPTIn a stable market, enter above 22.924.922.222.9
    TSLAIn a stable market, enter above 433441426433
    UNHIn a stable market, enter above 362369357.6362

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    Watchlist for Aug 5, 2025

    Watchlist & initial plan for 8/5/25: assuming the market trends stay stable

    Stock

    Plan

    Target

    Results

    $AMSC

    Trade above 55.5 / exit below 53.69

    60 – this week

    $FTAI

    Continue to trade / exit below 136.5

    155 – within 2 weeks

    $MOD

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 133.8

    144 – within 2 weeks

    $MSFT

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 524

    560 – within 4 weeks

    $NRG

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 167.5

    188 – within 6 weeks. Earnings on 8/6 may void the plan

    $NVDA

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 175.9

    188 – before the earnings (8/27)

    $PGY

    Trade above 31.9 / exit below 31.5

    38 – earnings on 8/7 may void the plan

    $PLTR

    Continue to accumulate

    179 within 2 weeks

    $RDDT

    Continue to accumulate

    220 within 2 weeks

    $TMDX

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 124.7

    139 within 2-3 weeks

    $AEO

    Continue to accumulate / exit below 12.79

    14.9 in a couple of days

  • | | |

    PLD – REIT WORTH LOOKING AT

    Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    A Strong Investment Case for Prologis Inc. $PLD 

    Business Prospects – Prologis is at the core of the data center buildout that is essential to the broader artificial intelligence (AI) story. High Occupancy and Record Leasing Signal Underlying Strength. REITs have been a poor investment in the last three years, and Prologis is no exception. Future growth will come from the company’s pivot into sectors such as data centers and sustainable energy and storage. The company currently has 5.2 gigawatts of utility-fed capacity that has either been installed or is committed.

    Financials – Prologis rose on Q3 results beat, 2025 core FFO forecast hike. The company lifted its 2025 core FFO forecast to a range of $5.78 per share to $5.81 per share, from previous expectations $5.75 per share to $5.80 per share. Q3 core FFO was $1.49/share, compared with analysts’ avg. estimate of $1.44/share. Q3 revenue of $2.21 bln was above analysts’ avg. estimate of $2.16 bln. Company’s dividend, which increased by 12% in the last year, looks safe. It also means that the company will have ample cash on hand to pay down its debt, which is in healthy ranges.

    Please consider becoming a subscriber. You will get an exclusive access to my watchlists here and my private discord channel where I share my real-time trades with you to trade along with me. I spent considerable time/effort each day in compiling the best of the best trading strategies.

  • | | |

    Watch List for Sep 8, 2025

    My attack plan is a to-do for myself based on my own extensive research. The plan includes PTs and SL for selected stocks, assuming stable market conditions. Geopolitical or macroeconomic events may invalidate this plan. I may revise it on the morning of the 8th before the market opens. Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

    Stock Symbol

    1st PT

    2nd PT

    3rd PT

    SL

    Notes

    TSLA

    354

    358

    364

    346.9

    AEO

    22

    17.85

    IOT

    43.45

    47

    40.4

    MU

    139

    145

    126.2

    GOOGL

    248

    Still thinking

    231

    DOCU

    84

    89

    78.8

    OPEN

    keep riding

    7.75

    RKT

    20.8

    23

    19.3

    LOW

    272.8

    279

    Still thinking

    267.5

    COHR

    100

    109

    94.9

    SOUN

    15.53

    16.8

    18.75

    13.65

    SHOP

    151.9

    156.8

    144.99

    BABA

    138.2

    146.6

    Still thinking

    132.52

    HIMS

    50.8

    54.5

    Still thinking

    46.8

    SNOW

    227.2

    232.8

    238

    221.9

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