Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

A Strong Investment Case for CENX – Century Aluminum

About CENX – Century Aluminum Co. is a producer of aluminum and operates aluminum reduction facilities, or smelters, in the United States and Iceland. Its products include standard ingots, T-ingot, extrusion billet, horizontal direct chill ingot, molten, slab, and sow.

A Case for CENX – Aluminum is moving from a supporting role to center stage in the global green transition. The metal is light and strong, and also endlessly recyclable. This makes it essential for electric vehicles (EVs), solar panels, power lines, and low-carbon buildings. Aluminum is critical for national security – an essential input for military aircrafts and advanced defense systems. Global demand for aluminum is rising fast as countries expand renewable power and electric transport. The International Aluminum Institute (IAI) expects aluminum demand to rise by 40% by 2030. This growth is fueled by clean-tech uses.

Trump tariffs put 50% charge on all non-domestic aluminum products. As a result, aluminum spot premium have gone up nearly 100%. CENX raised guidance for the year but hinted that the full effects will come next year. A shift in U.S. industrial sector policy, added by these tariffs and the focus on domestic manufacturing, is creating a uniquely profitable environment for CENX.

The financial impact of this policy is visible in the company’s guidance. For Q3’25, Century issued an optimistic forecast for Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $115 million to $125 million. Management explicitly linked this strong earnings projection to the benefits of higher domestic premiums, offering clear evidence of the policy’s effect on profitability. Century is actively reinvesting to meet the growing demand for domestically sourced aluminum.

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Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice.

How to play AI growth with CRDO ( Credo )

What is Credo’s business – AI data centers require a lot of high speed data connectivity. Credo is a leader in that area. The company offers a variety of products, including optical devices and data networking chips, but its active electrical cables ( AECs ), are the biggest chunk of its business.

Growth outlook – The company has continued expanding its business with the largest cloud service providers helping Credo benefit from growing demand for AECs, placing the company on the trajectory for strong revenue growth and expanding margins in the coming years. J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Cardoso initiated coverage on $CRDO with an Overweight rating and established a $165 stock target. The analyst predicts Credo will be able to grow its revenue at more than 50% a year and its earnings at more than 70% a year through 2028. Customers include Microsoft, Amazon.com, xAI, and Meta Platforms. Oracle and Google are potential future customers. “Given our expectation for solid improvement in FCF generation and an already healthy balance sheet, we would not rule out a greater appetite for capital allocation, which would represent upside to our outlook,” the analyst wrote. Last month, Credo shares rose after the company reported better-than-expected earnings results, citing strong demand from large technology companies.

About AECs – Credo invented the AEC, which is a copper-based cable used to attach AI servers to networking switches. AECs are more reliable and consume less power than optical cables and can be used for longer distances than traditional passive copper cables.

Please consider becoming a subscriber. You will get an exclusive access to my watchlists here and my private discord channel where I share my real-time trades with you to trade along with me. I spent considerable time/effort each day in compiling the best of the best trading strategies.