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Is the turnaround on homebuilders for real? $LEN $PHM $DHI $TOL $HD $LOW all showed good relative strength in the last few days. Also, on Friday Buffett’s Berkshire disclosed it had bought shares of D.R. Horton and Lennar in Q2. Are the selloff among those stocks had gone too far? The home building industry has been hurt by rising mortgage rates, and an uncertain economic outlook as unemployment is edging higher.
I think the strength in home building stocks will continue specially if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates next month. Another catalyst is that President Trump is floating the idea of removing capital-gains taxes on home sales which will hugely be a plus to spur the housing market.
Take a look at the weekly chart of Lennar. Do you see a turn around?

Watchlist & initial plan for 8/5/25: assuming the market trends stay stable
|
Stock 252_479f29-fc> |
Plan 252_a4578f-f3> |
Target 252_2a53c3-f6> |
Results 252_0ac2b8-88> |
|---|---|---|---|
|
$AMSC 252_997ffa-3a> |
Trade above 55.5 / exit below 53.69 252_365427-d7> |
60 – this week 252_29c72c-1b> | 252_1e182b-1f> |
|
$FTAI 252_f15cb6-6f> |
Continue to trade / exit below 136.5 252_ccc841-08> |
155 – within 2 weeks 252_e69114-a1> | 252_2a0502-00> |
|
$MOD 252_c313c8-ac> |
Continue to accumulate / exit below 133.8 252_5f746e-db> |
144 – within 2 weeks 252_1da001-8d> | 252_6cceea-1b> |
|
$MSFT 252_05e928-3f> |
Continue to accumulate / exit below 524 252_e0021d-21> |
560 – within 4 weeks 252_14d06e-9d> | 252_024ac5-5a> |
|
$NRG 252_8ea69b-7a> |
Continue to accumulate / exit below 167.5 252_8854c5-1b> |
188 – within 6 weeks. Earnings on 8/6 may void the plan 252_601f6b-29> | 252_1934a3-3b> |
|
$NVDA 252_152953-75> |
Continue to accumulate / exit below 175.9 252_20bc3d-da> |
188 – before the earnings (8/27) 252_b6bf46-11> | 252_916926-e1> |
|
$PGY 252_9054b2-72> |
Trade above 31.9 / exit below 31.5 252_42d122-c0> |
38 – earnings on 8/7 may void the plan 252_cfee7e-da> | 252_e630d7-36> |
|
$PLTR 252_7d6749-bd> |
Continue to accumulate 252_5f01ff-8c> |
179 within 2 weeks 252_a09ccb-ed> | 252_a87b38-20> |
|
$RDDT 252_b60fbf-19> |
Continue to accumulate 252_d5b607-73> |
220 within 2 weeks 252_ca0148-51> | 252_243b21-67> |
|
$TMDX 252_05a4e4-8c> |
Continue to accumulate / exit below 124.7 252_ca6407-98> |
139 within 2-3 weeks 252_97bf2e-f1> | 252_3c2796-03> |
|
$AEO 252_0a0838-a0> |
Continue to accumulate / exit below 12.79 252_e2a5d5-cf> |
14.9 in a couple of days 252_7b2cf3-9e> | 252_fc8768-d5> |
